6 non-Coronavirus ‘white swans’ that could still fly, post-pandemic

by Rashmee

Posted on July 11, 2020 / The Focus


Before Covid-19, there were black swans — unknown unknowns — and white ones, or predictable financial crises. Not too long ago, economics professor Nouriel Roubini laid out the “white swans” of 2020, which is to say predictable financial crises that occur because vulnerabilities are not addressed. The professor’s list, briefly summarised, contained six, non-Coronavirus white swans. They could still … Continue reading “6 non-Coronavirus ‘white swans’ that could still fly, post-pandemic”

Read More

Once upon a time there were black swans - now there are gray rhinos and the pandemic is one of them

by Rashmee

Posted on July 2, 2020 / The Focus


Once upon a time there were black swans. Now, there are gray rhinos. Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s black swans were unknown unknowns, which is to say unforeseeable or highly improbable risks. A gray rhino is a metaphor coined by risk expert Michele Wucker to describe “highly obvious, highly probable, but still neglected” dangers. Ultimately, we may … Continue reading “Once upon a time there were black swans - now there are gray rhinos and the pandemic is one of them”

Read More

Black swans, grey rhinos and the global oil market

by Rashmee

Posted on March 15, 2020 / The Arab Weekly


Until Russia’s refusal to accede to production cuts, the global oil market was suffering the effects of falling demand on account of the coronavirus outbreak. Once upon a time there were “black swans,” a term used by Lebanese-American scholar, statistician and risk analyst Nassim Nicholas Taleb to describe unknown unknowns —  unforeseeable, or highly improbable, … Continue reading “Black swans, grey rhinos and the global oil market”

Read More

Rashmee has lived and worked in several countries in the past decade, including Afghanistan, India, Haiti, Tunisia, the UAE, US and UK